India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — October 30, 2026
The RBI's October 30, 2026 disclosures paint a picture of a central bank managing a mixed liquidity and external-sector backdrop. Forex reserves fell US$1,269 Mn week-on-week to US$719.7 Bn but remain up a robust US$24,392 Mn YoY, with the weekly dip driven almost entirely by a US$2,650 Mn gold revaluation/valuation decline rather than a loss of core FX assets (FCA actually rose US$1,358 Mn). Liquidity is in absorption mode — net SDF absorption of ₹1,74,418 Cr and net liquidity of -₹1,65,213 Cr from operations — yet durable liquidity remains a large surplus of ₹10.14 lakh Cr as of Sept 30, 2026, and the overnight weighted average rate of 5.51% sits comfortably within the corridor (SDF 5.25%, MSF 5.50%). Credit growth (18.2% YoY) continues to outpace deposit growth (16.7% YoY), sustaining the structural deposit gap, while demand deposits contracted 11.2% over the fortnight — a signal of tight short-term cash conditions. The ₹29,900 Cr state government securities auction on Nov 3 is routine but adds to the G-sec/SDL supply calendar and will be watched for cut-off spreads. Net-net, policy appears on hold with a liquidity-absorption bias; the key monitorables are the gold reserve drawdown, deposit mobilization, and the term-money-market spread (corporate bond repo at 7.90%).