India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — May 29, 2026
The 14 filings from May 29, 2026, paint a picture of a market navigating a high-cost, high-forex-volatility environment, with the RBI actively managing short-term liquidity through fine-tuning operations. The most critical development is the massive swing to losses at InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo), driven by an extraordinary ₹89,757 million forex loss for FY26, which overshadows modest revenue growth and highlights acute vulnerability to rupee depreciation. In contrast, Infosys and Reliance Industries signal strength: Infosys is executing an aggressive AI-first strategy with over 4,600 projects, while Reliance received a credit rating upgrade from Moody's (Baa1, stable outlook). The RBI's data releases (BSR-1, BSR-2) and daily money market operations show no policy rate changes, but a 3-day Variable Rate Repo (VRR) auction indicates a deficit liquidity assessment. Portfolio-level themes include a stark divergence between aviation (negative forex impact) and IT/energy (positive strategic momentum), with capital allocation focused on debt management (IndiGo's USD 450 million prepayment) and shareholder returns (Infosys dividend). Insider activity was minimal, with Nandan Nilekani's share acquisition via transmission having no material impact. The key takeaway is that while the RBI maintains a steady policy hand, corporate earnings are being heavily distorted by non-operational factors, requiring investors to look through headline numbers to underlying operational health.